[1] 倪健, 宋永昌.中国亚热带常绿阔叶林优势种及常见种分布与气候的相关分析[J].植物生态学报, 1997, 21(2):115-129.

NI Jian, SONG Yongchang. Relationship between climate and distribution of main species of subtropical evergreen broad-leaved forest in China[J]. Chin J Plant Ecol, 1997, 21(2):115-129.
[2]

IPCC. IPCC, 2013, Technical summary[G]//STOCKER T, QIN D, PLATTNER G, et al. IPCC, Climate Change 2013: the Physical Science Basis, Contribution of Working Group Ⅰ to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Chang. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 2013: 710-719.
[3] 祁新帅.东亚特有间断分布植物蛛网萼属的生物地理学研究[D].杭州: 浙江大学, 2013.

QI Xinshuai. Biogeographic Studies on the Genus Platycrater (Hydrangeaceae) Endemic to East China and South Japan[D]. Hangzhou: Zhejiang University, 2013.
[4] 李国庆, 刘长成, 刘玉国, 等.物种分布模型理论研究进展[J].生态学报, 2013, 33(16):4827-4835.

LI Guoqing, LIU Changcheng, LIU Yuguo, et al. Advances in theoretical issues of species distribution models[J]. Acta Ecol Sin, 2013, 33(16):4827-4835.
[5] 许仲林, 彭焕华, 彭守璋.物种分布模型的发展及评价方法[J].生态学报, 2015, 35(2):557-567.

XU Zhonglin, PENG Huanhua, PENG Shouzhang. The development and evaluation of species distribution models[J]. Acta Ecol Sin, 2015, 35(2):557-567.
[6] 陆建忠, 翁恩生, 吴晓雯, 等.加拿大一枝黄花在中国的潜在入侵区预测[J].植物分类学报, 2007, 45(5):670-674.

LU Jianzhong, WENG Ensheng, WU Xiaowen, et al. Potential distribution of Colidago canadensis in China[J]. Acta Phytotaxon Sin, 2007, 45(5):670-674.
[7] 张海涛, 罗渡, 牟希东, 等.应用多个生态位模型预测福寿螺在中国的潜在适生区[J].应用生态学报, 2016, 27(4):1227-1284.

ZHANG Haitao, LUO Du, MU Xidong, et al. Predicting the potential suitable distribution area of the apple snail Pomacea canaliculata in China based on multiple ecological niche models[J]. Chin J Appl Ecol, 2016, 27(4):1277-1284.
[8] 龚维, 夏青, 陈红锋, 等.珍稀濒危植物伯乐树的潜在适生区预测[J].华南农业大学学报, 2015, 36(4):98-104.

GONG Wei, XIA Qing, CHEN Hongfeng, et al. Prediction of potential distributions of Bretschneidera sinensis, an rare and endangered plant species in China[J]. J South China Agric Univ, 2015, 36(4):98-104.
[9] 高蓓, 卫海燕, 郭彦龙, 等.应用GIS和最大熵模型分析秦岭冷杉潜在地理分布[J].生态学杂志, 2015, 34(3):843-852.

GAO Bei, WEI Haiyan, GUO Yanlong, et al. Using GIS and MaxEnt to analyze the potential distribution of Abies chensiensis[J]. Chin J Ecol, 2015, 34(3):843-852.
[10] 马松梅, 聂迎彬, 段霞, 等.蒙古扁桃植物的潜在地理分布及居群保护优先性[J].生态学报, 2015, 35(9):2960-2966.

MA Songmei, NIE Yingbin, DUAN Xia, et al. The potential distribution and population protection priority of Amygdalus mongolica[J]. Acta Ecol Sin, 2015, 35(9):2960-2966.
[11] 张兴旺, 李垚, 方炎明.麻栎在中国的地理分布及潜在分布区预测[J].西北植物学报, 2014, 34(8):1685-1692.

ZHANG Xingwang, LI Yao, FANG Yanming. Geographical distribution and prediction of potential ranges of Quercus acutissima in China[J]. Acta Bot Boreal-Occident Sin, 2014, 34(8):1685-1692.
[12] 王刚, 孟艳琼, 孙婧, 等.麻花杜鹃的地理分布模拟[J].西北农林科技大学学报(自然科学版), 2013, 41(5):173-177.

WANG Gang, MENG Yanqiong, SUN Jing, et al. Modeling the geographic distribution of Rhododendron maculiferum[J]. J Northwest A & F Univ Nat Sci Ed, 2013, 41(5):173-177.
[13] 王娟, 倪健.中国北方温带地区5种锦鸡儿植物的分布模拟[J].植物生态学报, 2009, 33(1):12-24.

WANG Juan, NI Jian. Modeling the distribution of five Caragana species in temperate northern China[J]. Chin J Plant Ecol, 2009, 33(1):12-24.
[14] 徐晓婷, 杨永, 王利松.白豆杉的地理分布及潜在分布区估计[J].植物生态学报, 2008, 32(5):1134-1145.

XU Xiaoting, YANG Yong, WANG Lisong. Geographic distribution and potential distribution estimation of Pseudotaxus chienii[J]. Chin J Plant Ecol, 2008, 32(5):1134-1145.
[15] 李垚, 张兴旺, 方炎明.气候变暖对中国栓皮栎地理分布格局影响的预测[J].应用生态学报, 2014, 25(12):3381-3389.

LI Yao, ZHANG Xingwang, FANG Yanming. Predicting the impact of global warming on the geographical distribution pattern of Quercus variabilis in China[J]. Chin J Appl Ecol, 2014, 25(12):3381-3389.
[16] 乐新贵, 谭策铭, 李林海, 等.贵溪市阳际峰自然保护区新发现成片蛛网萼群落[J].江西林业科技, 2008(4):42-43.

LE Xingui, TAN Ceming, LI Linhai, et al. New discovery on flaky community of Platycrater arguta of Yangjifeng Nature Reserve in Guixi City, Jiangxi, China[J]. J Jiangxi For Sci Technol, 2008(4):42-43.
[17] 陶晓瑜.东亚特有濒危植物蛛网萼的遗传多样性与亲缘地理学研究[D].杭州: 浙江大学, 2008.

TAO Xiaoyu. Genetic Diversity and Phylogeography of Genus Platycrater (Hydrangeaceae) Endemic to East China and South Japan[D]. Hangzhou: Zhejiang University, 2008.
[18]

GOVINDASAMY B, DUFFY P B, COQUARD J. High-resolution simulations of global climate, part 2:effects of increased greenhouse cases[J]. Clim Dynam, 2003, 21(5/6):391-404.
[19]

BUSBY J R. BIOCLIM:a bioclimate analysis and prediction system[J]. Plant Protect Quart, 1991, 6(1):64-68.
[20]

CARPENTER G, GILLISON A N, WINTER J. DOMAIN:a flexible modelling procedure for mapping potential distributions of plants and animals[J]. Biodiv Conserv, 1993, 2(6):667-680.
[21] 曹向锋, 钱国良, 胡白石, 等.采用生态位模型预测黄顶菊在中国的潜在适生区[J].应用生态学报, 2010, 21(12):3063-3069.

CAO Xiangfeng, QIAN Guoliang, HU Baishi, et al. Prediction of potential suitable distribution area of Flaveria bidentis in China based on niche models[J]. Chin J Appl Ecol, 2010, 21(12):3063-3069.
[22]

RAES N, ter STEEGE H. A null-model for significance testing of presence-only species distribution models[J]. Ecography, 2007, 30(5):727-736.
[23]

CHEN Pingfu, WILEY E O, MCNYSET K M. Ecological niche modeling as a predictive tool:silver and bighead carps in North America[J]. Biol Invas, 2007, 9(1):43-51.
[24] 张丽芳, 裘利洪.蛛网萼开花物候、花部特征及繁育系统研究[J].广西植物, 2017, 37(10):1301-1311.

ZHANG Lifang, QIU Lihong. Flowering phenology, floral traits and breeding system of Platycrater arguta[J]. Guihaia, 2017, 37(10):1301-1311.
[25] 张丽芳, 林昌勇, 俞群, 等.珍稀濒危植物蛛网萼的种子形态及萌发特性[J].江西农业大学学报, 2015, 37(3):497-503.

ZHANG Lifang, LIN Changyong, YU Qun, et al. The morphological structure and germination characters of seed of rare and endangered species Platycrater arguta[J]. Acta Agric Univ Jiangxi. 2015, 37(3):497-503.
[26] 朱耿平, 刘国卿, 卜文俊, 等.生态位模型的基本原理及其在生物多样性保护中的应用[J].生物多样性, 2013, 21(1):90-98.

ZHU Gengping, LIU Guoqing, BU Wenjun, et al. Ecological niche modeling and its applications in biodiversity conservation[J]. Biodivers Sci, 2013, 21(1):90-98.
[27] 朱弘, 尤禄祥, 李涌福, 等.浙闽樱桃地理分布模拟及气候限制因子分析[J].热带亚热带植物学报, 2017, 25(4):315-322.

ZHU Hong, YOU Luxiang, LI Yongfu, et al. Modeling the geographical distribution pattern and climatic limited factors of Cerasus schneideriana[J]. J Trop SubtropBot, 2017, 25(4):315-322.
[28] 曹福祥, 徐庆军, 曹受金, 等.全球变暖对物种分布的影响研究进展[J].中南林业科技大学学报, 2008, 28(6):86-89.

CAO Fuxiang, XU Qingjun, CAO Shoujin, et al. Advances of global warming impact on sepcies distribution[J]. J Cent South Univ For Technol, 2008, 28(6):86-89.
[29] 邵慧, 田佳倩, 郭柯, 等.样本容量和物种特征对BIOCLIM模型模拟物种分布准确度的影响:以12个中国特有落叶栎树种为例[J].植物生态学报, 2009, 33(5):870-877.

SHAO Hui, TIAN Jiaqian, GUO Ke, et al. Effects of sample size and species traits on performance of BIOCLIM in predicting geographical distribution of tree species:a case study with 12 deciduous Quercus species indigenous to China[J]. Chin J Plant Ecol, 2009, 33(5):870-877.
[30] 张琴, 张东方, 吴明丽, 等.基于生态位模型预测天麻全球潜在适生区[J].植物生态学报, 2017, 41(7):770-778.

ZHANG Qin, ZHANG Dongfang, WU Mingli, et al. Predicting the global areas for potential distribution of Gastrodia elata based on ecological niche models[J]. Chin J Plant Ecol, 2017, 41(7):770-778.