1999 Vol. 16, No. 1

Articles
Reflections on developmental goal of Zhejiang Forestry College under the new situation
Chen Jingyou
1999, 16(1): 1-4.
[Abstract](1121) [PDF](197)
Abstract:
Zhejiang Forestry College (ZFC), after ten years of hard work , is to be developed into an institution of higher learning with forestry as its characteristics as well as with multi-disciplines , multi-levels and multi-forms .Education quality , scientific research and beneficial results will come up to advanced standards of colleges of the same kind at home .The train of thoughts and the orientation for the level , characteristics and scale for running ZFC are discussed in the paper .It is also pointed out in the paper that qualified person is the most important factor for attaining the goal.
A preliminary construction on conceptual framework of regional forest resources early-warning system
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 5-9.
[Abstract](1257) [PDF](148)
Abstract:
This paper puts forward conceptual framework of regional forest resources early-warning , and preliminarily discusses concept , type , structure and function of regional forest resources early-warning .Finally , the paper discusses some key problems about conceptual definition such as stability and development of concept , theory and operation of concept , complex and simplification of concept .
A preliminary study on relationship of prediction, monitoring and early-warning
Chen Meilan, Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 10-13.
[Abstract](1255) [PDF](260)
Abstract:
In conceptual framework of regional forest resources early-warning system , prediction , monitoring and early-warning are three relative concepts that are very easy confused .From the views of conceptual contents and application , the paper discusses the relationship of early-warning and prediction .And from the view s of set theory :separate , tangency and intersect , the paper explores the relationship of early-warning and monitoring .
Early-warning indicators of regional forest resources.
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 14-19.
[Abstract](1195) [PDF](134)
Abstract:
Indicator early-warning is a key method of regional forest resources early-warning , and a base of statistical early-warning and model early-warning .The paper puts forward concepts of warning situation indicator , warning source indicator and warning sign indicator ;and then discusses early-warning indicators' selection applicable condition and principle of regional forest resources .A new method which is object property parsing method of early-warning indicators' system construction is discussed too .
Warning affair classification of regional forest resources.
Zhou Guomo, Wu Yanxiong, Chen Meilan, Zhang Yunong
1999, 16(1): 20-23.
[Abstract](1080) [PDF](155)
Abstract:
What meaning is warning is first question of regional forest resources early-warning . Warning meaning is made up of two parts which are warning affair and warning degree .The paper classifies warning affair of regional forest resources as productive , biodiversity , effect , disaster and overall warning affair etc ., and these warning affair are discussed in detail late .
An exploration on reasonable spatial ruler of practicing regional forest resources early-warning system
Zhang Yunong, Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 24-27.
[Abstract](1033) [PDF](148)
Abstract:
From concept and property of region , the paper expounds spatio-temporal difference of regional forest resources that is spatio-temporal difference law of forest resources distribution . Based on current research situation of regional forest resources early-warning , the paper puts forward the practicing strategy of regional forest resources early-warning system is that begins with county and gradually expands out side .
Three components view on regional forest resources system.
Wu Yanxiong, Zhang Yunong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 28-33.
[Abstract](919) [PDF](152)
Abstract:
From integrity and development view of modern system sciences , the paper puts forward three components view of regional forest resources system .The paper expounds structure , function and property of regional forest resources system in order to make three components view clearer and detail .
Three new views on regional forest resources system
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 34-40.
[Abstract](1120) [PDF](163)
Abstract:
From DSC theory of modern system sciences that are dissipative structure , synergetics and catastrophe theory , the paper puts forward three new views of regional forest resources system with the characteristics of regional forest resources system .Three new views includes dissipative structure theory , synergertics and development theory , and gradualism and catastrophe theory .They will be theoretical base of theory analysis , especially quantitative analysis of regional forest resources early-warning system .
Philosophical base of regional forest resources early-warning system
Zhou Guomo, Wu Yanxiong, Chen Meilan
1999, 16(1): 41-44.
[Abstract](1752) [PDF](166)
Abstract:
This paper expounds philosophical base of regional forest resources early-warning system , includes dialectical materialism and historical materialism .The relationship between qualitative and quantitative exchange law , unity of opposites law , negatives of negatives law , and regional forest resources early-warning system is discussed too .
Study of regional forest resources early-warning mechanism
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 45-49.
[Abstract](1092) [PDF](167)
Abstract:
This paper expounds early-warning mechanism of regional forest resources , includes inside running mechanism and out side regulation mechanism of early-warning system .From three dimensions to one dimension parsing , the authors discuss inside running mechanism of early-warning system .Based on regulation aim , regulation principle and technical line , the out side regulation mechanism of early-warning system is discussed too .
A case study on running mechanism of regional forest resources early-warning system
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 50-54.
[Abstract](1199) [PDF](189)
Abstract:
This paper considers early-warning of forest fire danger as a case study .From expounding warning meaning , finding warning sources , analyses of warning sign , predicating warning degree and removing warning objects , the running mechanism of regional forest resources early-warning system are discussed by logical detail .
Early-warning analysis on regional forest resources sustainable development
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 55-60.
[Abstract](1923) [PDF](173)
Abstract:
Based on gradualism theory , the paper makes a preliminary theoretical analysis on regional forest resources early-warning system from the view of sustainable development appraisal of regional forest resources .At first , the paper defines the regional forest resources sustainable development , and then puts forward the working outline of early-warning of regional forest resources sustainable development based on the core of dynamic appraisal .
Indicators' early-warning of regional forest resources sustainable development
Wu Yanxiong, Chen Meilan, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 61-65.
[Abstract](1741) [PDF](179)
Abstract:
Based on sustainability criteria , the paper puts forward the ranges of warning degree on the combination indexs early-warning of regional forest resources sustainable development as following .Light warning :YID(t) YID(t -5)or YIH(t) YIH(t -5)but YIO(t) YIO(t -5);Middle warning :YID(t) YID(t -5)or YIH(t) YIH(t -5)and YIO(t) YIO(t -5);Serious warning :YID(t)YID(t -5)and YIH(t)YIH(t -5).The abstract index and leading indicators early-warning of regional forest resources sustainable development are finally discussed too .
Early-warning analysis of the stability of regional forest resources system
Wu Yanxiong, Guo Renjian, Zhou Guomo
1999, 16(1): 66-69.
[Abstract](2041) [PDF](162)
Abstract:
Based on the discussion of systems concept and types , the paper puts forward 10 indicators of regional forest resources systems stability , such as degree of system output disturb (DO), degree of system input disturb (DI)and degree of system value dominance (DV) etc .The basic out line of early-warning analyses of system stability is meantime discussed .The authors think that the early-warning strategy change of system stability is from indicatorsearly-warning to model' s early-warning .
Warning degree classification of regional forest resources early-warning
Wu Yanxiong, Guo Renjian, Zhou Guomo
1999, 16(1): 70-75.
[Abstract](1340) [PDF](193)
Abstract:
Warning degree classification is one of key steps in regional forest resources early-warning .The paper puts forward 5 methods of warning threshold decision and warning degree classification , such as systematic method , control chart method , synthetic judgement method , catastrophism method and expert decision method etc .These methods will provide warning degree classification of regional forest resource early-warning with scientific way .
Warning sign identification of regional forest resources early-warning
Wu Yanxiong, Zhang Yunong, Qiu Yiwei, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian, Chen Meilan
1999, 16(1): 76-79.
[Abstract](1094) [PDF](142)
Abstract:
Warning sig n identification is one of key steps in regional forest resources early-warning .The paper puts forward 5 methods of warning sign identification , such as K-L information accounting method , ARIMA (p , d , q) time variables' interrelated analyses method , cluster analyses method , horse arena method and circulated matching method etc .These methods will provide warning sign identification of regional forest resource early-warning with scientific way .
A discussion on development probability of regional forest resources early-warning system
Zhou Guomo, Wu Yanxiong, Zhang Yunong
1999, 16(1): 85-88.
[Abstract](1121) [PDF](166)
Abstract:
Development of regional forest resources early-warning system is not only necessary , but also has some probability .The probability includes three aspects that are the existing base of other early-warning system , opportunity given by modern times and the inevitable production of emphasis transference .
Restrict and countermeasure of regional forest resources early-warning system’s implementation.
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 89-92.
[Abstract](1230) [PDF](159)
Abstract:
The paper expounds the restrict factors of regional forest resources early-warning systems construction and implementation , and puts forward relative countermeasures of three key restrict factors , such as early-warning consciousness , early-warning organization and early-warning data etc .
Probing into synthetic appraisal of regional forest resources
Wu Yanxiong, Chen Meilan, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 80-84.
[Abstract](1118) [PDF](210)
Abstract:
Synthetic appraisal is a basic method of regional forest resources early-warning .Compared with single appraisal , the paper expounds the connotation of regional forest resources' synthetic appraisal. From ranges , content s and ex tension of appraisal , the discussion domain of synthetic appraisal are defined .Finally , two key problems of synthetic appraisal that are scientific and system problems of synthetic appraisal are discussion .
Development of regional forest resources early-warning technical system
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian, Chen Meilan
1999, 16(1): 93-99.
[Abstract](1019) [PDF](152)
Abstract:
The paper considers six bases that are database , model base , method base , know ledge base , indicators base and signal base as the base , early-warning analyses subsystem as the core , and early-warning situation distribution subsystem as the media of regional forest resources early-warning system .From the view s of general model and tools' appraisal , the development tools of technical system are discussed in depth .The RFREWS 1.0 (regional forest resources early-warning system 1.0) developed by the authors is briefly introduced too .
ActiveX and its application in regional forest resources early warning technical system
Wu Yanxiong, Zhou Guomo, Guo Renjian
1999, 16(1): 100-106.
[Abstract](1108) [PDF](167)
Abstract:
The paper discusses the important development technology of regional forest resources early-warning technical system , which is ActiveX technique .From the relationship between ActiveX and software crisis , the importance of ActiveX control technique is discussed .The basic principle of ActiveX control technique and the ActiveX supporting of development tools are briefly introduced .Finally , the paper gives examples of ActiveX control creation and application which occurred in early-warning technical system development , and compares the ActiveX with CORBA and Java Bean which are the same technique with the ActiveX .