Forecast of land use pattern change in Anji County of Zhejiang : an application of Markov process

JIANG Wen-wei; GUAN Yu; LIU Tong; ZHOU Guo-mo; SHEN Zhen-ming

Volume 21 Issue 3

Feb. 2017

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Article Navigation > Journal of Zhejiang A&F University > 2004 > 21(3): 309-312

JIANG Wen-wei, GUAN Yu, LIU Tong, ZHOU Guo-mo, SHEN Zhen-ming. Forecast of land use pattern change in Anji County of Zhejiang : an application of Markov process[J]. Journal of Zhejiang A&F University, 2004, 21(3): 309-312.

Citation:

JIANG Wen-wei, GUAN Yu, LIU Tong, ZHOU Guo-mo, SHEN Zhen-ming. Forecast of land use pattern change in Anji County of Zhejiang : an application of Markov process[J]. Journal of Zhejiang A&F University, 2004, 21(3): 309-312.

Forecast of land use pattern change in Anji County of Zhejiang : an application of Markov process

1.
.School of Landscape Architecture and Art , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300, Zhejiang , China;
2.
. School of Science , Zhejiang Forestry College, Lin’an 311300, Zhejiang , China;
3.
.College of Forest Resources and Environment, Nanjing Forestry University , Nanjing 210037 , Jiangsu , China;
4.
General Station of Forest Science and Technology , Lin’an 311300, Zhejiang , China

Funds:

十五浙江省重点资助项目(011037);浙江省教育厅高等学校青年教师基金资助项目(2003)

Received Date: 2004-02-09
Rev Recd Date: 2004-05-27
Publish Date: 2004-09-20

Abstract

Based on thd data obtained from fixed plots for continuously surveying mountainous resources during two different perods , thd transition probability of land use pattern in Anji district of Zhejiang was defined , and the tendency of its change was forecasted with application of Markov process .The results show that over a long period of time , the barren moutain area , the arable land area , water area and the area occupied by residence will be decreased gradually and forest land area and orchard area will be increased day by day .Finally , the land use pattern will be lied in a stable state .At that time , a new land pattern will be formed by dominance of forest land area of 78.4 %while wet land areas decrease more than ever .[ Ch , 3 tab .11 ref .]
- Markov process,
- land use pattern,
- transition probability

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通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

1.
沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院沈阳 110142

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Forecast of land use pattern change in Anji County of Zhejiang : an application of Markov process

1. .School of Landscape Architecture and Art , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300, Zhejiang , China;

2. . School of Science , Zhejiang Forestry College, Lin’an 311300, Zhejiang , China;

3. .College of Forest Resources and Environment, Nanjing Forestry University , Nanjing 210037 , Jiangsu , China;

4. General Station of Forest Science and Technology , Lin’an 311300, Zhejiang , China

Funds:

十五浙江省重点资助项目(011037);浙江省教育厅高等学校青年教师基金资助项目(2003)

Received Date: 2004-02-09

Rev Recd Date: 2004-05-27

Publish Date: 2004-09-20

Key words:

Abstract: Based on thd data obtained from fixed plots for continuously surveying mountainous resources during two different perods , thd transition probability of land use pattern in Anji district of Zhejiang was defined , and the tendency of its change was forecasted with application of Markov process .The results show that over a long period of time , the barren moutain area , the arable land area , water area and the area occupied by residence will be decreased gradually and forest land area and orchard area will be increased day by day .Finally , the land use pattern will be lied in a stable state .At that time , a new land pattern will be formed by dominance of forest land area of 78.4 %while wet land areas decrease more than ever .[ Ch , 3 tab .11 ref .]

Forecast of land use pattern change in Anji County of Zhejiang : an application of Markov process

Abstract

References

Proportional views

通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

Related

Proportional views