Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value

YU Yong-qing; FU Shun-hua

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Volume 18 Issue 1

Jul. 2017

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Article Navigation > Journal of Zhejiang A&F University > 2001 > 18(1): 85-88

YU Yong-qing, FU Shun-hua. Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value[J]. Journal of Zhejiang A&F University, 2001, 18(1): 85-88.

Citation:

YU Yong-qing, FU Shun-hua. Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value[J]. Journal of Zhejiang A&F University, 2001, 18(1): 85-88.

Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value

YU Yong-qing^1
,,
FU Shun-hua²

1.
Department of Information Engineering and Basic Science , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China;
2.
.Department of Resources and Environment , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China

Received Date: 1999-12-13
Rev Recd Date: 2000-11-14
Publish Date: 2001-03-20

Abstract

By the theory and method of increase model , with statistical data in Fifty Years of Linan , the Gompertz increase model =6 exp[ -5.802 0 e-0.367 9 t] was established , which predicted the output value of forest products .The model corresponded more to practicality and attained high rigidity .The relative error was 0.008 2 % between prediction and actual value , correlative index was 0.999 2 .This predicting measure is simple and easy to use , and has practical significance , it can also be used in predicting the output of cash forests and the volume of forestry resource consumption etc .It offers decision warranty and raises the power of general control for forestry management .
- Gompertz increase model,
- method of least squares,
- forest products,
- prediction

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通讯作者: 陈斌, bchen63@163.com

1.
沈阳化工大学材料科学与工程学院沈阳 110142

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Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value

YU Yong-qing^1,,
FU Shun-hua²

1. Department of Information Engineering and Basic Science , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China;

2. .Department of Resources and Environment , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China

Received Date: 1999-12-13
Rev Recd Date: 2000-11-14
Publish Date: 2001-03-20

Key words:

Abstract: By the theory and method of increase model , with statistical data in Fifty Years of Linan , the Gompertz increase model =6 exp[ -5.802 0 e-0.367 9 t] was established , which predicted the output value of forest products .The model corresponded more to practicality and attained high rigidity .The relative error was 0.008 2 % between prediction and actual value , correlative index was 0.999 2 .This predicting measure is simple and easy to use , and has practical significance , it can also be used in predicting the output of cash forests and the volume of forestry resource consumption etc .It offers decision warranty and raises the power of general control for forestry management .

YU Yong-qing, FU Shun-hua. Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value[J]. Journal of Zhejiang A&F University, 2001, 18(1): 85-88.

Citation:

YU Yong-qing, FU Shun-hua. Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value[J]. Journal of Zhejiang A&F University, 2001, 18(1): 85-88.

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Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value

1. Department of Information Engineering and Basic Science , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China;

2. .Department of Resources and Environment , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China

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Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value

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Application of Gompertz increase model to prediction of forestry product value

1. Department of Information Engineering and Basic Science , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China; 2. .Department of Resources and Environment , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China

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1. Department of Information Engineering and Basic Science , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China;

2. .Department of Resources and Environment , Zhejiang Forestry College , Lin’an 311300 , Zhejiang , China